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 admin   2019-10-24 13:00 
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国际热点新闻:国际热点时事新闻报道和深度分析文章(CBS, CNN, ABC, NBC, CNBC, CTV...)

美国主流媒体文摘:摘录当天美国主流媒体对美国政治经济热点新闻的报道和分析。

英语政治和媒体词典:解释英语政治时事和媒体常用英语词条。

清波门看世界:英中对照编辑海外主流媒体关于当今世界文化和旅游的报道和专题文章

国际热点新闻 World Breaking News

1.World News - Latest news from around the globe (NBC)

2.U.S. News: Latest news, breaking news, today's … - CBS News

3.UK news - breaking news, video, headlines and opinion - CNN

4.Canada News - Top National News Headlines - CTV News

5.Australia news - breaking news, video, headlines and opinion (CNN)

6.NZ News - Breaking news, Crime, Politics, Health, Education ( nzherald)

7. Associated Press Top News AP)

美国主流媒体文摘 The US Mainstream Media Quotes
(Available on Oct 26,2019)

英语政治和媒体词典 Dictionary of Politics & Media

shy voters, stealth vote, stealth support,Bradley effect, reverse Bradley effect , shy Trumpers

shy voters or shy vote
害羞的选民,或害羞选举:指选民羞于在民意测验时公开支持或承认某个候选人,但仍在选举中为该候选人投票。

stealth vote, stealth support
偷偷支持。公开场合不公开支持某个候选人,但投票是私下投了该候选人的票。

Bradley effect  布莱德利效应
这种理论,旨在解释当白人和黑人候选人相互竞争时民意测验与选举结果之间的差异。

得名于洛杉矶前市长Tom Bradley。虽然2次民调,布莱德利始终领先对手, 但实际投票结果,他手输给竞争对手。很多人在民调时当面表示支持布莱德利(黑人), 但实际很多选民没有Tom Bradley。

Reverse Bradley effect  反向布莱德利效应
民调是闭口不表态, 含糊其辞。

shy Trumpers
害羞的特朗普支持者。表面不支持特朗普,但实际上投票支持。

Citations:
The Bradley Effect, named after Tom Bradley, an African-American candidate who served as Los Angeles mayor for 20 years, describes a situation in which polls show that a minority candidate is ahead in an election (like Bradley was), but ultimately underperforms (like Bradley did), because respondents are concerned about appearing bigoted in conversation with the stranger who surveyed them.
---.vanityfair.com Jun 28, 2016

For the reverse Bradley Effect to apply in this case, it would be more probable that an overwhelming number of voters are claiming that they’re undecided when they, in fact, plan on voting for Trump.

The idea of so-called “shy Trumpers” suggests that support for Trump was socially undesirable, and that his supporters were unwilling to admit their support to pollsters.

But they have made one thing clear: If Trump is going to win this contest, he's going to need a significant boost from the so-called "stealth Trump supporters" out there.

The point is that outfits like Trafalgar and the psychologists and others mapping the stealth vote are really the best chance Trump has right now. For those of us who still believe Trump can win, there's no getting around the fact that all the conventional data is running against him.

清波门看世界 Qingbomen's Lens

Lonely Planet's top 10 cities to visit in 2020

2020年《孤独星球》的十大最佳旅游城市

10 tallest buildings in the world

世界10大摩天大楼

Wildlife Photographer of the Year winners showcase stunning scenes from nature

年度野生动物摄影奖得主展示了来自大自然的令人惊叹的场景

50 awe-inspiring natural wonders for your bucket list

50个令人惊叹的大自然景观,您打卡过几个

Our favorite travel photos of 2019 so far

2019年迄今最受欢迎的旅行照片

30 of Africa's most amazing places to visit

非洲30个最令人惊叹的旅游景点

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